Archive for March, 2010

AB Podcast #21 – “Luxury-Like” Episode

March 30, 2010 by Colin Bird

speakerAutobird_Pod_luxury530  

This week’s theme was decided after the fact. We went with the name “Luxury-Like” after I slipped up and referred to “Lexus” as “Luxury.” This episode is all about prestige and perception. Along with mainstay Joel Feder we are joined by Justin Loyear, moderator and editor at Cheers and Gears.

The Garage:

Joel has his hands on a Chevrolet Silverado 1500 Z71. Justin had a Chevrolet Camaro SS, which he took on an 800 mile excursion to Las Vegas for the weekend.

This Week in Car News:

  • GM Unveils EN-V Concept [link]
  • 2011 Chrysler 200C [link]
  • Volvo Killing Wagons/V8 Sedans? [link]

Clip of the Week:

  • Chrysler starts heavy-duty Ram ads [link]

Tweetmeme:

2012 Ford Explorer caught completely disrobed [link]

Talking Points:

Art & Science: Cadillac is honestly the only brand that sort of has an uncertain future at General Motors. Now don’t get us wrong, we don’t think Cadillac is the next brand on the chopping block, at least not yet, but we do think there needs to be some questions answered about the future of the brand. In this section we talk about the perceptions of Cadillac within the general buying public. We speculate on Cadillac’s future and whether or not it can ever become a serious competitor to Lexus, Mercedes and BMW in terms of sales in America.

Daimler Succubus: After destroying one sacrificial lamb, Daimler is on the hunt for its next prey partner [link]

Listen, Comment and Enjoy!

For additional information visit AutoBird, Accelerate Minneapolis and CheersandGears.com

Images By: Andrew Walensa

P.S. Check out the C&G’s forum thread: EXCITEMENT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!  

 

Download this episode (right click and save)

This Week in Cars: 03.21.2010 – 03.27.2010

March 28, 2010 by Colin Bird

glassABhyundai_sonata_hybrid

03.21.2010

  • Honda global output to rise 10% [link]

03.22.2010

  • Toyota resale values rising, Kelley Blue Book says [link]
  • Buyers putting aside Toyota’s woes to get a deal [link]
  • GM expands Brazilian factories to meet growing vehicle demand [link]

03.24.2010

  • Ford cash needs, ‘Fragile’ economy hinder dividend restoration [link]
  • Ford pays CEO Mulally $18 million [link]
  • GM exec hint at power hike for 2011 Chevrolet Camaro V-6 [link]
  • GM, partner to unveil 2-seaters [link]

03.25.2010

  • Chrysler ads reinforce Ram as fourth brand [link]
  • Chrysler to build a battery-powered electric car by 2012 [link]
  • GM may develop twin-turbo V-6 to fight Ford’s EcoBoost [link]
  • Edmunds sees 31% jump in March US auto sales, Ford beating GM [link]
  • GM expects to repay $1 billion loan to Treasury [link]

03.26.2010

  • California decides against ‘Cool Cars’ rule [link]
  • Lawyers circle Toyota [link]
  • Toyota names leader of North American Quality Task Force [link]
  • Hyundai to unveil 2011 Sonata Hybrid [link]
  • Volvo to drop V70 wagon [link]
  • GM to add workers, boost output at Canadian plants [link]
  • GM spent $1.48M on lobbying in 4Q [link]
  • GM scouring Twitter, Facebook to reach unhappy customers [link]

03.27.2010

  • Daimler partnership with Renault-Nissan possible [link]
  • Ford’s Mulally join Barron’s top CEO list [link]
  • Geely, Ford to sign Volvo accord on Sunday [link]
  • Ford to unveil Lincoln MKZ Hybrid at the 2010 New York Auto Show [link]
  • Fiat to increase its stake in Chrysler to 35 percent [link]
  • Toyota stops production in Britain and France for 9 days on recall issues [link]

Clip of the Week:

2010 Ram Heavy Duty Truck Spot: “Built To Work”

pump

As the economy continuously improves you should expect to keep hearing this: gas prices are rising! For the fifth straight week in a row, the average price of regular unleaded gasoline has increased – this week by three cents. Gas prices now average $2.82 across the nation.

The five week bullish run has amounted to a significant $0.21 increase in the cost of gasoline. To put that in a different perspective, gas prices have increased by 86 cent over the past year and of that increase 25% of it occurred over the past five weeks.

On a per region basis, gas prices are the cheapest in the Gulf Coast, at $2.69 a gallon. Considering that’s where the majority of America’s supply comes from it’s not surprising. The Rocky Mountain area is next at $2.77 – remember that Wyoming and North Dakota are big oil producer as well. East Cost prices rose by only a penny to $2.79 per gallon. The Midwestern region incurred the largest increase in the United States with a seven cent spike, to $2.81 a gallon. Despite the spike in the Midwest, West Coast prices remain the highest in the country at $3.03 per gallon.

Within the contiguous United States, New Jersey has the cheapest gas prices at $2.62 a gallon and California has the highest, at $3.09 a gallon, according to Gasbuddy.com.

The average price of diesel fuel moved up two cents to $2.95 per gallon, $0.86 above the price a year ago.

Continue to expect gas prices to increase due to the summer driving season and changes in summer formulated gasoline. According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), gas prices will average $2.84 in 2010, but expect prices to exceed $3 a gallon nationally during the spring and summer driving months. $4 a gallon prices in California by the middle of this summer are now possible.

Nevertheless, the EIA points out that expected U.S. consumption of oil remains at a lower point than our peak levels in 2005. By 2011, total consumption will be less than 1999 levels due to a more fuel efficient national fleet of vehicles.

There are some other encouraging signs from the EIA’s latest forecast. The EIA sees long-term potential for increased oil supplies from Brazil, Russia, and Kazakhstan. Due to new oil findings, an increase in CAFE standards for 2016 and the dramatic decreases in gas prices that occurred in late 2008, the EIA only sees a price per gallon of $3.68 by 2030 (in 2008 dollars).

So I guess we can look forward to some stability in the future, but then again, these models weren’t calibrated for sudden changes in political atmosphere. For all we know a modern oil embargo could flare up at any moment.

Source: Unless otherwise specified, all information is courtesy of the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)

speakerAutoline After Hours is one of my favorite podcasts. If you have a chance, you should give tonight’s episode a live watch and contribute to the conversation. Tonight’s episode will focus on the latest litigation lobbed against Toyota, Renault and Daimler’s joint venture partnerships, and GM’s EN-V program. Tonight’s episode features John McElroy, Peter De Lorenzo of Autoextremist, Frank Markus of Motor Trend and Tom Walsh of the Detroit Free Press.

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AB Podcast #20 – “Strike Back” Episode

March 23, 2010 by Colin Bird

speakerAutobird_Pod_Strikes2Back530

This week’s theme is all about automakers, auto journalists and nature striking back. We have a very special guest this week, owner/editor of Hooniverse.com, Jeff Glucker.

The Garage:

Jeff talks about his experience with the Buick Enclave

This Week in Cars:

  • Chrysler starts production of new-age V6 [link]
  • Ford bringing wondrous tales along with trucks to little-used theaters in rural Argentina[link]
  • Corvette revamped C7, radical mid-engined C8 in GM’s plans [link]
  • GM temporarily restarts Saturn, Hummer production [link]

Clip of the week:

  • Tennessee man attempts rock slide ramp, fails [link]

Tweetmeme:

  • We talk about the Ray Wert vs. Jason Calacanis action that went down on Twitter last week [link]

Talking Points:

Prius hoax stories:

  • Toyota demands retraction and apology from ABC News over manufactured death ride [link]
  • U.S. says driver error possible in N.Y. Prius crash [link]
  • Toyota offers preliminary findings from technical field examination of alleged ‘Runaway Prius’ in San Diego [link]

McLaren MP4-12C performance stats have arrived: [link]

Listen, Comment and Enjoy!

For additional information visit AutoBird, Accelerate Minneapolis and Hooniverse.com

Download this episode (right click and save)

A Tale of Two Factories

March 22, 2010 by Colin Bird

inkAB_Companys

2009 was a god awful year in the history of US auto manufacturing. From 2009 to the end of 2010, seven retail vehicle assembly plants are set to close. Each one of these closures represents thousands of highly-paid blue collar jobs lost, which – for the most part – are never coming back to American shores. In most circumstances, each plant represented not only the livelihood for individual families, but also for the townships themselves.  The shuttered General Motors plant in Janesville, Wisconsin, for instance, accounted for nearly 10 percent of the jobs in the metropolitan area.

Every plant closure represents the end of a storied history in American manufacturing. Over the course of the past 12 months, 44,300 car assembly and auto parts workers have lost their jobs, a figure that will undoubtedly increase over the next year. This post will focus on the rare closure of a joint-venture facility, and the equally rare salvation of a doomed domestic plant.

New United Motor Manufacturing (NUMMI)

AB_CompanyNUMMI

On March 31st, 2010, NUMMI will close up shop and, with it, so will the last vestige of automobile manufacturing on the West Coast. NUMMI is located within the San Francisco metropolitan area, in Fremont, CA. Ground broke on the original facility way back in 1962 as a General Motors assembly plant,  building Chevrolet, Pontiac, Buick and Oldsmobile cars, along with Chevy and GMC pickups for sale at GM’s western dealers. Yes, GM was so big back in the 1960’s that it had region-oriented assembly plants. 

Fremont Assembly (successor to Oakland Assembly) had worker relation issues almost from the beginning. It was so bad that Automotive News then called Fremont Assembly “arguably GM’s worst plant in America.” UAW workers were difficult to manage, and the products coming out of the factory were unreliable. So Roger Smith, in a major restructuring campaign, closed the troublesome factory in 1982, furloughing all 7,000 employees.

Two years later (1984), the plant was revived as a joint-venture between General Motors and Toyota. GM offered half-ownership in exchange for Toyota know-how and technology. The plant represented the first major investment in the US market for Toyota; the Japanese company put up $150 million to renovate the plant, while GM invested no dollar amount. The plant, while a joint-venture, was entirely operated by Toyota managers – GM had around 12 managers who reported back to Detroit with their findings. Because the plant was operated by Toyota, invariably every model produced at NUMMI was of Toyota design. The first car produced there was a Chevy Nova, aka Toyota Corolla. A Corolla variant has been built on the passenger line at NUMMI throughout the plant’s entire history, and the old GM truck line was filled in by the Toyota Hilux and its successor the Toyota Tacoma. GM received rebadged Toyotas that it channeled through Chevrolet, GEO and Pontiac dealerships. 

Ultimately, the concept of the plant was overly ambitious and failed to live up to its ideals. General Motors did learn, and was cognizant of Toyota’s way of collaborating with its suppliers and its just-in-time supply system, but that form of organization proved difficult for GM to implement. Many of the GM managers that were sent to NUMMI were put back into low-level positions, where they had no influence, because GM didn’t want to hear that Japan was doing things better, according to U.C. Berkeley Business School Professor Robert Cole. Through 2001-2009, GM’s contract orders from NUMMI only amounted to 15% of yearly output – GM contracted a rebadged wagon variant of the Corolla called the Pontiac Vibe.

AB_NummiShaPgraph

Efficiency and profitability was also an issue with NUMMI. According to many financial experts, the plant has never been profitable for either GM or Toyota. However, the plant did provide Toyota with invaluable information on how to operate in an American environment, and today the automaker has 5 fully-owned plants in operation in America, with a sixth coming online in Mississippi.

Toyota also claims that the plant is a logistical burden, as the core of its manufacturing operations are centered in the Heartland of America, with NUMMI on the west coast. According to Toyota’s vice president of communications, Irv Miller, “all of the engines that go into the Tacomas and the Corollas at NUMMI come from West Virginia.” According to Business Week, NUMMI’s UAW workforce were paid an average wage of $28 an hour, compared to $24 an hour for other Toyota plants. Miller also points out that NUMMI was Toyota’s oldest plant in operation in North America.

Ultimately, GM’s bankruptcy proved the perfect excuse to end the experiment. GM’s 50% ownership in NUMMI was lumped into Motors Liquidation Company (old GM), and Pontiac Vibe contracts ended in July, 2009. With 50% of the factory now owned by a company who was sure to sell off its stake to the highest bidder, it is my judgment that the plant proved an unacceptable risk to Toyota.

Thus, NUMMI becomes the first plant shutdown for Toyota in its 73 year history. Following the end of the contract, Tacoma production will move to San Antonio, Texas. Corollas will be sourced from Canada and Japan.

The closure will idle 4,700 workers at the plant, the largest mass layoff in California since the recession began, and it will threaten 25,000 jobs across the state, according to the NUMMI Blue Ribbon Commission.  Toyota directly employs 10,725 workers in California, or about 30% of its American workforce.  The state represents Toyota’s biggest market – the company controls 25% of the California car market, more than the combined share of GM and Ford in 2009. California accounted for almost 18 percent of Toyota’s U.S. Sales, and 5 percent of the automaker’s global sales in 2007. The Tacoma and Corolla are big sellers in California; might Californians consider this move a betrayal and boycott Toyota purchases, or will they move on as business as usual?

Sterling Heights Assembly Plant (SHAP)

AB_CompanyShap

SHAP is a notable Chrysler assembly plant located in the Detroit metropolitan area. At 286 acres, the plant is huge, but only about half the size of NUMMI, yet it has as storied a history as NUMMI’s. SHAP started as a jet engine plant in 1953. Converted to an automobile plant in 1980 by Volkswagen, it was then purchased by Chrysler in 1983.

The plant has built the Chrysler LeBaron GTS, Dodge Lancer, Dodge Shadow, Plymouth Duster, Dodge Daytona, Dodge Stratus, Chrysler Sebring and Dodge Avenger.  Since 1995, SHAP has been Chrysler’s only assembly plant building midsized sedans. 

The plant has seen periodic updates to its manufacturing process, the latest including a flexible manufacturing setup by Daimler-Chrysler; the $278 million investment undertaken in 2006 allowed for a family of different vehicles to go through a single robotic welding process – most factories need different welding lines, depending on body design. This means that the current Sebring, Sebring Convertible and Dodge Avenger frames/ bodies go through the same 275 robotic spot welders. Chrysler also moved to a small work team setup at the plant, in many ways similar to the flexible work system used by Toyota at NUMMI; the same system was set up at Chrysler’s Belvidere assembly.  Chrysler’s goal is to use the same processes throughout all its remaining plants. The plant also employees a just-in-time supply structure as of 2006.

All of these improvements made SHAP one of the most flexible and (potentially) efficient plants at Chrysler. In 2007, the plant employed 2,458 workers and churned out 238,107 Avengers and Sebrings. The plant has the capacity to build either 0% or 100% of any of the currently produced models – many factories have an inflexible required product mix. According to Allpar, the plant also has the capacity to pilot a fourth product, such as an Avenger coupe, or a labor intensive hand-built vehicle, such as a niche electric vehicle.

Despite all this, the factory was set to close. Unlike NUMMI, you can’t blame SHAP for the situation; the blame falls on Chrysler. Unlike NUMMI, SHAP is flexible and was profitable, despite being one of Chrysler’s oldest plants. The underlying issue was that the Sebring and Avenger had fallen so fast that it made the plant nearly useless. Last year, Chrysler only produced a total of nearly 65,000 units at a plant with the capacity of 300,000+. Its 2,458 (2007) employees has steadily declined to 1,119, or just one shift.

At first, Chrysler had decided to close the plant. Belvedere was more flexible, and could build the Dodge Avenger, Chrysler Sebring, Dodge Caliber, Jeep Compass and Patriot with just two-shifts, given the current demand for Chryslers.

When Chrysler declared bankruptcy, SHAP was lumped in with old Chrysler. New Fiat/Government-controlled Chrysler would buy contract-built Sebrings and Avengers from old Chrysler until the plant closed in December 2010. But those plans recently changed.

Fiat has placed new importance on SHAP, after a decision to significantly upgrade the current Sebring and Avenger. The new Sebring, which has been renamed the 200C, will feature a heavily restyled body, new powertrains and a brand new interior. The Avenger will get minor exterior upgrades, some new interior appointments, and the same powertrain and chassis developments as the 200C. Fiat believes that the refreshed products, along with new growth in the America car market, will necessitate the need for both Belvidere and SHAP.

With this decision, new Chrysler has purchased the assembly plant back from old Chrysler for an estimated $20 million. Chrysler officials say that they plan on producing vehicles at SHAP until 2012, and possible going further than that.  This spares some 1,200 workers at SHAP from termination; Chrysler has also offered 400 laid-off workers at one of its Ohio plants jobs at SHAP.

SHAP’s continued operations are also a reprieve for the Sterling Heights township. The towns City Manager Mark D. Vanderpool estimates the regional impact of SHAP at $300 million annually. “The loss of the plant would have created a huge void in the middle of our industrial corridor, which would have been difficult and very costly to fill in these tough economic times,” says Vanderpool.

This Week in Cars: 03.14.2010 – 03.20.2010

March 21, 2010 by Colin Bird

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03.15.2010

  • Some Toyota drivers suing in US for a full refund [link]
  • Union reaches deal to close Toyota-GM plant [link]

03.16.2010

  • Nissan to sell electric car for less than $44300 [link]

03.17.2010

  • Kia.com rated number one manufacturer web site by J.D. Power [link]
  • Subaru, Hyundai see biggest gains in brand image [link]
  • Cosmic rays at fault for Toyota problems? [link]
  • Ford’s $65 billion in debt upgraded by Moody’s [link]
  • GM won’t seek GMAC reunion [link]
  • New GM finance chief is optimistic [link]

03.18.2010

  • Nissan steals Hyundai’s star car-seller, Joel Ewanick [link]
  • Toyota demands apology, retraction from ABC [link]
  • Toyota to hand off pension bill to US [link]
  • GM shelves plans to kill two-thirds of its Cadillac dealers [link]

03.19.2010

  • Brake issue forces Honda to recall 412000 Odysseys and Elements [link]
  • Chrysler begins building new V6 (pic above) [link]
  • Incentives from Toyota, Ford, GM Help March sales zoom [link]
  • Pay czar trims salaries at top of GM exec ranks [link]
  • GM working on high-tech system to ’see’ through fog [link]

Clip of the Week:

New Cadillac ad campaign created by the brand’s new ad agency Bartle Bogle Hegarty. The New York agency was hired in January to replace Modernista! of Boston.

Truth In Advertising: An Insider Analysis

March 18, 2010 by Guss Tsatsakis

briefcaseAB_VW_ad

Trust: it’s a word that’s thrown around easily, so easily that sometimes the true meaning of it gets lost. “Trust me!” “ We’ll gain your trust!” “ Building trust!” We’ve all heard it so much that we’ve become desensitized to it. Trust is a commodity that every industry should aspire to stock up on. And there’s no better example than the Auto Industry.

There’s a well known mantra in the marketing realm: Truth In Advertising. Gone are the days of the gullible consumer and the snake-oil salesman. Advertisers and marketers have learned over the course of commercial development that, to appeal to the consumer’s intellect, there has to be a foundation of truth in whatever message they present to the public.

What better example than the famous Volkswagen ad from the 60’s depicting the Bug; it didn’t try to compensate for its tiny stature by bragging about the BIG savings in gas it offered or the BIG engineering that went into it from Germany. Instead, it utilized what was very apparent to the consumer and used it to its advantage. Think Small.

Conversely, a decade later, Chrysler introduces the 1975 Cordoba by having spokesman Ricardo Montalban (welcome to Fantasy Island, indeed) describe the many luxurious features… like Corinthian Leather. “What the hell is Corinthian Leather you ask?” After many inquiries, Chrysler admitted that it was just a linguistic cachet invented for marketing.

 

Don’t get me wrong; there’s nothing wrong with injecting some style into advertising, but a kernel of truth can lend your style some credibility. Cadillac’s style (which might be seen as an answer to Lincoln’s recent spacey adventure with the MKZ and the MKS) depicts their line-up as faster-than-light-speed rockets thrusting through test grounds. But the majority of their high-performance luxury sedan competitors prefer to showcase their flagship vehicles on coveted tracks like the Nürburgring, or competing in autocross. Now, we all know we’re not gonna get in our luxury sedans and fly around a track at 120+ MPH, but there is an attainable reality illustrated in the track scenario that is an impossibility with the “rocket-launch w/ full NASA crew” scenario. I guess that’s why Cadillac dropped their Boston-based advertising agency, Modernista!, and decided to position their brand as a real-world luxurious vehicle with the help of U.K.-based Bartle Bogle Hegarty.

Some might cry foul and defend the advertiser’s right to portray a fantastical world of fun and desire to entice the consumer to buy. And true, this might be a personal pet peeve of mine, but left unchecked, fantasy seeps into reality, and soon little white lies become blatant falsification. I recently observed a Chevy commercial state that its 5-year, 100-thousand mile warranty was the “Best warranty in America.” I’ve heard it over and over again. But Kia and Hyundai have been offering their 10-year, 100-thousand mile warranty for almost ten years now; obviously a slightly better warranty than Chevy. No matter how small the discrepancy is, in the mind of the educated consumer, there exists an air of mistrust. And where there is mistrust, there is no sale.

Trust: it gives you more than a warm fuzzy feeling inside… it might just be what the domestic auto industry needs to survive.

-Guss L. Tsatsakis

Designer at advertising and marketing agency, Wilburn Thomas.